TY - JOUR T1 - Bernoulli and Ars Conjectandi TT - برنولی و کتاب فن حدس زدن JF - Andishe-_ye-Amari JO - Andishe-_ye-Amari VL - 25 IS - 2 UR - http://andisheyeamari.irstat.ir/article-1-821-en.html Y1 - 2021 SP - 97 EP - 102 KW - Bernoulli KW - Uncertainly KW - Golden theorem KW - Insufficient reason principle N2 - There are two reasons that 2013 named as Statistics year. First, it was 300 year after written the book, Ars Conjectandi, by Bernoulli and the second, presentation of Bayes article 250 year ago. Hald (2007) beleive that the development period of Probability and Statistics is started from Bernoulli and ended by Fisher. This article expaline the role of Bernoulli book in Statistics. M3 ER -